\n\t\u4e2d\u56fd\u65b0\u578b\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u75ab\u60c5\u6269\u6563\u5bfc\u81f4\u80a1\u5e02\u66b4\u8dcc\uff0c\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u5e02\u573a\u5374\u4e00\u7247\u5927\u6da8\u30021\u670828\u65e5\uff0cKOSPI\u5e02\u573a\u5728\u6625\u8282\u4f11\u5047\u7ed3\u675f\u540e\u7b2c\u4e00\u5929\u5f00\u5e02\u5c31\u66b4\u8dcc\u8d85\u8fc72%\uff0c\u5931\u5b882200\u70b9\u3002\u524d\u4e00\u5929(1\u670827\u65e5)\u5f00\u4e1a\u7684\u7ebd\u7ea6\u80a1\u5e02\u8dcc\u5e45\u4e5f\u8d85\u8fc71.5%\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0b\u884c\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u8fd8\u5bfc\u81f4\u56fd\u9645\u6cb9\u4ef7\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u5404\u79cd\u5b89\u5168\u8d44\u4ea7\u5219\u8868\u73b0\u5f3a\u52bf\u3002\u91d1\u4ef7\u521b\u4e0b\u516d\u5e74\u6765\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u7eaa\u5f55\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u4e5f\u7a81\u78349000\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u6da8\u52bf\u5f3a\u52b2\u3002\u5728\u6b64\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u5e74\u521d\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u4f0a\u6717\u7206\u53d1\u6b66\u529b\u51b2\u7a81\u5bfc\u81f4\u5c40\u52bf\u7d27\u5f20\u65f6\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4e5f\u66fe\u8868\u73b0\u5f3a\u52bf\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7eb7\u7eb7\u671f\u5f85\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u53ef\u80fd\u5df2\u7ecf\u6210\u4e3a“\u6570\u5b57\u9ec4\u91d1”\u3002<\/p>\n
\n\t\u622a\u81f31\u670828\u65e5\u4e0a\u534811\u70b9\uff0cKOSPI\u6307\u6570\u8dcc\u5e45\u8d85\u8fc73%(67\u70b9)\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u4ef7\u683c\u4e3a2179\u70b9\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u65e5\u7ecf\u6307\u6570\u57281\u670827\u65e5\u66b4\u8dcc2%\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c28\u65e5\u518d\u5ea6\u66b4\u8dcc\u8fd11%\uff0c\u4ecd\u7136\u6301\u7eed\u7740\u4e0b\u8dcc\u8d8b\u52bf\u30021\u670827\u65e5\u6536\u76d8\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u6807\u51c6\u666e\u5c14500\u6307\u6570\u4e0b\u8dcc1.57%\uff0c\u7eb3\u65af\u8fbe\u514b\u6307\u6570\u4e0b\u8dcc1.89%\uff0c\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u6b27\u6d32\u80a1\u7968\u5e02\u573a\u4e5f\u572827\u65e5\u51fa\u73b02%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u8dcc\u5e45\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u5f15\u8d77\u8fd9\u6b21\u80a1\u5e02\u9707\u52a8\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u5927\u9646\u548c\u9999\u6e2f\u80a1\u5e02\u6b63\u5904\u4e8e\u6625\u8282\u4f11\u5e02\u671f\u95f4\u3002<\/p>\n
\n\t\u56fd\u9645\u6cb9\u4ef7\u4e5f\u56e0\u4e3a\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0b\u884c\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u800c\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u5317\u6d77\u5e03\u4f26\u7279\u539f\u6cb9\u671f\u8d27\u4ef7\u683c\u57281\u670827\u65e5(\u5f53\u5730\u65f6\u95f4)\u4e0b\u964d2.26%\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u897f\u90e8\u5fb7\u514b\u8428\u65af\u539f\u6cb9(WTI)\u4ef7\u683c\u4e5f\u4e0b\u964d1.93%\uff0c\u6bcf\u6876\u4ea4\u6613\u4ef7\u4e0b\u964d\u5230\u4e8653\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u5546\u54c1\u671f\u8d27\u5206\u6790\u673a\u6784“\u4ef7\u683c\u671f\u8d27\u96c6\u56e2(Price Futures Group)”\u7684\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u6bd4\u5c14·\u798f\u5c14\u6797(\u97f3)\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u65b0\u578b\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u611f\u67d3\u80ba\u708e\u75ab\u60c5\u5c06\u662f“\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u5bfc\u81f4\u539f\u6cb9\u9700\u6c42\u51fa\u73b0\u6700\u5927\u5e45\u5ea6\u4e0b\u964d\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\u4e4b\u4e00”\uff0c“\u5bf9(\u80ba\u708e)\u75ab\u60c5\u5feb\u901f\u6269\u6563\u7684\u6050\u614c\u5c06\u5bfc\u81f4\u77f3\u6cb9\u9700\u6c42\u5927\u5927\u4e0b\u964d”\u3002\u53bb\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e73\u5747\u6bcf\u5929\u8fdb\u53e31012\u4e07\u6876\u539f\u6cb9\uff0c\u662f\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5927\u7684\u539f\u6cb9\u8fdb\u53e3\u56fd\u3002<\/p>\n
\n\t\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u5b89\u5168\u8d44\u4ea7\u5219\u8868\u73b0\u5f3a\u52bf\u30021\u670827\u65e5\u56fd\u9645\u9ec4\u91d1\u73b0\u8d27\u4ef7\u683c\u8fbe\u5230\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f8(31.1\u514b)1576.8\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u53bb\u5e74\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\u4e00\u5ea6\u4e0b\u964d\u52301400\u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0b\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u91d1\u4ef7\u57281\u67088\u65e5\u4f0a\u6717\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c55\u5f00\u62a5\u590d\u88ad\u51fb\u540e\u4e00\u4e3e\u4e0a\u5347\u5230\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f81600\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u57282013\u5e744\u6708\u4ee5\u540e\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u6536\u590d1600\u7f8e\u5143\u5927\u5173\u3002\u6b64\u540e\u968f\u7740\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u4f0a\u6717\u7684\u77db\u76fe\u9010\u6e10\u7f13\u548c\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u4e5f\u91cd\u65b0\u51fa\u73b0\u4e0b\u964d\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002\u800c\u5728\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u75ab\u60c5\u6269\u6563\u540e\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u91cd\u65b0\u5f00\u59cb\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002<\/p>\n
\n\t\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u4e5f\u6709\u6240\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u7814\u7a76\u673a\u6784Market Point\u7684\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c1\u670827\u65e5(\u5f53\u5730\u65f6\u95f4)\u7ebd\u7ea6\u503a\u5238\u5e02\u573a\u7f8e\u56fd10\u5e74\u671f\u56fd\u503a\u7684\u5229\u7387\u4e3a1.61%\uff0c\u6bd4\u524d\u4e2a\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\u4e0b\u964d8bp(1bp=0.01\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9)\uff0c\u521b\u4e0b\u53bb\u5e7410\u670810\u65e5(1.59%)\u4e4b\u540e\u4e09\u4e2a\u591a\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u7eaa\u5f55\u3002\u56fd\u503a\u4ef7\u683c\u548c\u5229\u7387(\u6536\u76ca\u7387)\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u8d8b\u52bf\u6b63\u597d\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u56fd\u503a\u5229\u7387\u521b\u4e0b\u6700\u4f4e\u7eaa\u5f55\u610f\u5473\u7740\u56fd\u503a\u4ef7\u683c\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u66b4\u6da8\u3002\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8bf4\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u52a8\u8361\uff0c\u8d2d\u4e70\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u5e26\u52a8\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002<\/p>\n
\n\t\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u7740\u8d2d\u4e70\u7f8e\u5143\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u589e\u591a\u30021\u670828\u65e5\u5f00\u5e02\u7684\u9996\u5c14\u5916\u6c47\u5e02\u573a1\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u6362\u97e9\u5143\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u4e3a1176.7\u97e9\u5143\uff0c\u5728\u524d\u4e00\u4e2a\u4ea4\u6613\u65e51\u670813\u65e5\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u4e8e1\u7f8e\u51431157\u4ebf\u97e9\u5143\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u75ab\u60c5\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u4e86\u8fd12%\u3002<\/p>\n
\n\t\u62ff\u8fd9\u6b21\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u4e0e2003\u5e74\u7684\u975e\u5178(SARS\uff0c\u91cd\u75c7\u6025\u6027\u547c\u5438\u7cfb\u7edf\u75c7\u5019\u7fa4)\u5bf9\u6bd4\u53ef\u77e5\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u516c\u5f00\u7684\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u81f4\u6b7b\u7387\u4e3a3%\uff0c\u8fdc\u4f4e\u4e8e\u975e\u5178(9.6%)\u548cMERS(34.5%)\u3002\u4f462003\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u5185\u603b\u4ea7\u503c(GDP)\u5728\u5168\u7403\u603b\u4ea7\u503c\u7684\u6bd4\u91cd\u53ea\u67094.3%\uff0c\u800c2019\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u6bd4\u91cd\u5df2\u7ecf\u9ad8\u8fbe16.3%\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u9884\u8ba1\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9020\u6210\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u5c06\u660e\u663e\u9ad8\u4e8e\u975e\u5178\u3002<\/p>\n
\n\t\u6839\u636e\u82f1\u56fd“Capital Economy”\u5e02\u573a\u7814\u7a76\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u63a8\u6d4b\uff0c\u975e\u5178\u5927\u7ea6\u628a2003\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6\u7684\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7387\u62c9\u4f4e\u4e861\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002\u97e9\u56fd\u5bf9\u5916\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653f\u7b56\u7814\u7a76\u9662(KIEP)\u7684\u6570\u636e\u4e5f\u663e\u793a\uff0c2003\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6\u97e9\u56fd\u56fd\u5185\u603b\u4ea7\u503c(GDP)\u589e\u957f\u7387\u5927\u7ea6\u88ab\u975e\u5178\u62c9\u4f4e\u4e861\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9(\u5e74\u589e\u957f\u7387\u88ab\u62c9\u4f4e0.25\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9)\u3002<\/p>\n
\n\t\u82f1\u56fd\u5df4\u514b\u83b1\u8d44\u672c\u516c\u53f8\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u5bfc\u81f4\u6625\u8282\u5047\u671f\u671f\u95f4\u6e38\u5ba2\u548c\u6d88\u8d39\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eca\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\u7684\u56fd\u5185\u603b\u4ea7\u503c(GDP)\u6216\u5c06\u88ab\u62c9\u4f4e0.2\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9884\u6d4b\u673a\u6784“Intelligence Unit”\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u75ab\u60c5\u89c4\u6a21\u6269\u6563\u5230\u975e\u5178\u7684\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7387\u5c06\u88ab\u62c9\u4f4e0.5\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7387\u5c06\u4e0b\u964d\u52305.5%\u4e4b\u4e0b\u3002\u65e0\u8bba\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u90fd\u5c06\u4e0d\u53ef\u907f\u514d\u53d7\u5230\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n
\n\t\u4eca\u5e74\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u8d70\u5411\u4e00\u76f4\u4e0e\u4f20\u7edf\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u5b8c\u5168\u76f8\u53cd\u3002\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u5728\u5371\u673a\u4e2d\u8868\u73b0\u5f3a\u52bf\uff0c\u4e0e\u9ec4\u91d1\u7b49\u5b89\u5168\u8d44\u4ea7\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u81f4\u7684\u8f68\u9053\u3002\u622a\u81f31\u670828\u65e5\u4e0a\u534811\u70b9(\u97e9\u56fd\u65f6\u95f4)\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u7a81\u78349000\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5df2\u5168\u9762\u8fdb\u5165\u4e0a\u5347\u9636\u6bb5\u3002<\/p>\n
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