{"id":6380,"date":"2026-02-11T22:31:16","date_gmt":"2026-02-11T14:31:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.dm-yq.com\/?p=6380"},"modified":"2026-02-11T22:31:16","modified_gmt":"2026-02-11T14:31:16","slug":"%e6%af%94%e7%89%b9%e5%b8%81%e4%bb%8a%e5%b9%b4%e5%86%b2-20-%e4%b8%87%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%ef%bc%9fglassnode-%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90%e5%b8%88%ef%bc%9a%e6%b2%a1%e9%87%8f%e3%80%81%e6%b2%a1%e6%94%af%e6%92%91","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.dm-yq.com\/?p=6380","title":{"rendered":"\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4eca\u5e74\u51b2 20 \u4e07\u7f8e\u5143\uff1fGlassnode \u5206\u6790\u5e08\uff1a\u6ca1\u91cf\u3001\u6ca1\u652f\u6491\u3001\u6ca1\u620f\u5531"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u300c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4eca\u5e74\u98d9\u5230 20 \u4e07\u7f8e\u5143\u300d\u7684\u547c\u58f0\u4e0d\u65ad\u9ad8\u6da8\uff0c\u4f46\u6709\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5728\u4e70\u76d8\u91cf\u80fd\u672a\u89c1\u660e\u663e\u589e\u6e29\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fd9\u573a\u68a6\u6050\u6015\u96be\u5706\u3002<br \/>\n<BR \/> <\/p>\n<p>\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u300c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4eca\u5e74\u98d9\u5230 20 \u4e07\u7f8e\u5143\u300d\u7684\u547c\u58f0\u4e0d\u65ad\u9ad8\u6da8\uff0c\u4f46\u6709\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5728\u4e70\u76d8\u91cf\u80fd\u672a\u89c1\u660e\u663e\u589e\u6e29\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fd9\u573a\u68a6\u6050\u6015\u96be\u5706\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u533a\u5757\u94fe\u6570\u636e\u5e73\u53f0 Glassnode \u9996\u5e2d\u5206\u6790\u5e08 James Check \u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u5e01\u5708\u4e1a\u5185\u4eba\u58eb\u90fd\u770b\u597d\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u540e\u5e02\u8868\u73b0\uff0c\u300c20 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\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u7406\u8bba\u4e0a\u867d\u8bf4\u300c\u51e1\u4e8b\u7686\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u300d\uff0c\u4f46\u4ece\u6280\u672f\u9762\u3001\u5e02\u573a\u7ed3\u6784\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u300c\u5b9e\u73b0\u7684\u673a\u7387\u975e\u5e38\u4f4e\u300d\u3002\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff1a<\/p>\n<p>\u9664\u975e\u6211\u770b\u5230\u4ea4\u6613\u91cf\u56de\u5347\uff0c\u9664\u975e\u6211\u611f\u89c9\u66f4\u6709\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff0c\u5426\u5219\u6211\u80af\u5b9a\u4e0d\u4f1a\u8f7b\u4e3e\u5984\u52a8\u53bb\u5f00\u6760\u6746\u4ed3\u4f4d\uff0c\u9664\u975e\u6211\u770b\u5230\u5e02\u573a\u7a33\u5b9a\u4e0b\u6765\uff0c\u5426\u5219\u6211\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5192\u9669\u3002\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Quantile Model Update<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin Price: ~$120K<br \/>Risk Score (current quantile): 72%<\/p>\n<p>120K is the new base pic.twitter.com\/iJL1pNly96<\/p>\n<p> Sina \ud83d\udddd\ufe0f\u26a1 21st Capital (@Sina_21st) July 22, 2025<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>\u6839\u636e CoinGecko \u884c\u60c5\u62a5\u4ef7\uff0c\u622a\u81f3\u5199\u7a3f\u65f6\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u4ef7\u683c\u4e3a 118,422 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u8f83 20 \u4e07\u7f8e\u5143\u8fd8\u6709 68.8% \u7684\u5dee\u8ddd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5bf9 James Check \u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u8fc8\u5411 20 \u4e07\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0d\u662f\u4e00\u8e74\u53ef\u51e0\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4e00\u8fde\u4e32\u8270\u96be\u7684\u6280\u672f\u653b\u9632\u3002\u867d\u7136\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u5df2\u5728 7 \u6708 14 \u65e5\u7a81\u7834 12 \u4e07\u7f8e\u5143\u6574\u6570\u5173\u5361\uff0c\u4f46\u672a\u6765\u4ecd\u5f97\u9010\u6b65\u7ad9\u7a33 13 \u4e07\u7f8e\u5143\u3001 14 \u4e07\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u751a\u81f3 15 \u4e07\u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u591a\u9053\u95e8\u69db\u3002\u4ed6\u76f4\u8a00\uff1a\u300c\u51b2\u4e0a\u53bb\u662f\u4e00\u56de\u4e8b\uff0c\u80fd\u4e0d\u80fd\u7ad9\u7a33\u53c8\u662f\u53e6\u4e00\u56de\u4e8b\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n<p>James Check 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